Climate Change: The Cold Hard Math
James Hall | 6th Oct 2015
One of the hottest topics in our culture today is climate change, and with the UN Climate Change Conference coming up next month in Paris, France the topic is buzzing. The carbon monoxide debate affects every part of our culture and daily lives. Automobiles are forced to take large steps toward being climate conscious. Pipelines companies are regulated ever so strongly by EPA regulations and cities have guidelines on what can be built so that it reflects a climate friendly environment. All of these regulations and extra spending are all in the name of helping produce a healthy climate for future generations. This is a great idea and has helped many neighborhoods and companies become far more efficient and healthy in their methods. However, there are a few questions that must be asked by ever person individually. Where did this idea of climate change come from? Was the information correct? Is there evidence for climate change?
For the last 18 years, temperatures seem to have been a paused. This cannot be explained by the people from IPCC for their models show carbon monoxide to be a major factor in the global warming epidemic. However, there is a new voice in the world of climate change that simply went back to the math. His name is Dr. David Evans and he is an electrical engineer who was formally a climate modeler for the Government's Australian Greenhouse Office and holds six degrees in applied mathematics. Dr. Evans’ work has shown that while the underlying physics of the model is correct, it had been applied incorrectly by the advisors for many years.
Having fixed two errors in the applied model it now shows that the impact of carbon monoxide is now up to 10 times less than previously thought by the IPCC. Dr. Evans’ said “Yes, CO2 has an effect, but it’s about a fifth or tenth of what the IPCC says it is. CO2 is not driving the climate; it caused less than 20 per cent of the global warming in the last few decades”.
The new information according to Dr. Evans “ought to change the world”, but is the world really ready to admit it was wrong for 100 plus years? The first model to observe climate change came from 1890’s, and this model had a problem in it. It is not hard to believe that someone messed up on a model, what is hard to believe is that no one double checked to make sure it was correct. “The model architecture was wrong,” Dr. Evans says. “Carbon dioxide causes only minor warming. The climate is largely driven by factors outside our control.” This discover by Dr. Evans could change the very voice of climate change in our world. However, there is a big obstacle in the way of this thinking: politics. It will take many years before this is taken as a serious viewpoint.
The recent warm temperatures around the global Dr. Evans believed they are not carbon monoxide based but rather “albedo modulation”, the waxing and waning of reflected radiation from the Sun. Also, what is interesting is that Dr. Evan believes that the global temperatures, which have plateaued, are going to be dropping and dropping quickly. Between 2017 and 2021 the cooling will be about 0.3C by the 2020s. Some scientists are saying a mini ice age is coming in 2020.
If Dr. Evans is correct, he will have explained why the doomsday predictions of climate scientists aren’t reflected in the actual temperatures. Also he will prove the theory on carbon dioxide wrong and blown a hole in climate alarmism. “It took me years to figure this out, but finally there is a potential resolution between the insistence of the climate scientists that CO2 is a big problem, and the empirical evidence that it doesn’t have nearly as much effect as they say.”
What does this mean for the everyday person who has been taught that carbon monoxide is the cause of high temperatures across the global in the past?
Here are 5 main points to pull from this article
- Research is Happening: New research is being done on the subjects of climate change and global warming.
- Worry Less: If this is true then we as humans will be able to worry less.This does not mean we stop trying to be climate conscious, but rather the worry level is lower.
- Culture Change: We could see a shift in culture toward being more conscious is how our environment is effecting itself, rather than how we are affecting it.
- Open Mind: It hurts when something you thought was true becomes a lie. However, being that we are speaking in terms of theories it is a good thing to be open minded about climate theories.
- Cooler Temperatures: With a prediction that this winter will be super cold just allows the evidence to show that the next 20 years will be colder than the last 20 years.
Stay warm and open minded this winter!